Biden or Trump? Why might the 2024 election result not matter?


This is the least important election in our lives.

This is a forbidden feeling in politics because propaganda, donations and votes depend on an electorate that is afraid of its collective mind. Advisers need to convince people that the nation will collapse if the other person wins.

But it will be difficult for voters to accept this message of doom and gloom. We’ve had enough of both over the past decade.

We can expect little from the campaigning this year, but it is negative, because both front-runners have little positive to gloat over.

Instead of worrying about what will happen if the other person wins, most Americans worry about whether either person will win.

The 2024 election offers choices few want

This collage photo shows President Joe Biden, left, on January 5, 2024, and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, right, on January 19, 2024.

This collage photo shows President Joe Biden, left, on January 5, 2024, and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, right, on January 19, 2024.

a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll Request Registered voters if they are satisfied with another match between Biden and Trump. Neither campaign will be happy with the results.

Only about a third of respondents said this was “a good option for voters,” while 64% said “the country needs another alternative.”

While 50% of Republicans appear to be satisfied with Trump, a whopping 71% of Democrats oppose a rerun in 2020.

“Most Americans,” said Nikki Haley, who is technically still in the GOP race I don’t want a rematch Between Biden and Trump… the first party whose 80-year-old candidate retires will be the party that wins these elections.”

I tested this message in the recent Nevada primary He came in second place. Who won first? “None of the above.”

Trump wasn’t even on the ballot.

Most voters want neither Trump nor Biden

While the hardline bases of both parties seem satisfied with their choices, most Americans are looking forward to a third option.

When pollsters asked voters whether they would “consider a moderate independent candidate running for president,” 55% said yes.

Support for a “moderate” generally fails as soon as a flesh-and-blood candidate throws his hat in the ring. (My idea of ​​a centrist is Ron Swanson from “Parks and Rec,” but I assume most people disagree.)

Why are there no presidential candidates? Want to discuss anymore

However, it is surprising how little passion most Americans have for either candidate with the election just nine months away. Instead of putting up signs in the yard and putting stickers on cars, people want to avoid our depressing policies as much as possible.

According to the same poll, 55% of voters believe that Biden is “incapable of running a successful campaign,” while 50% believe that Trump’s legal problems “make it impossible” for him to run for president.

Some outside possibilities might change one of the major party’s nominees, but it’s ugly to think about them all. Despite the current bad choice, no one hopes for a major health crisis or “black swan” event such as war or terrorism.

What will low-vote candidates do?

If voter apathy persists, 2024 could represent a significant decline in electoral turnout. A record number of votes were cast in 2020, leading to Participation rate 66.6%. (A decent number, if you think about it).

Given the political distress that Americans are experiencing, November is likely to witness a collapse in total votes, along with a decline in viewership of party conventions. Discussions will not be discussed because they will never be held.

Biden will claim he can’t appear on the same stage as a “threat to democracy,” and Trump will claim he’s too busy fighting the latest indictment against him. The real reason is that they are both old, but hardcore partisans will accept lame excuses.

Voters prefer to watch Netflix, anyway.

The real challenge lies with the candidates who received fewer votes and who will get lost in the shuffle. They need to motivate upset voters, hopefully with some positive messaging that can drown out the angry noise at the top of the list.

John Gabriel, a Mesa resident, is the magazine’s editor-in-chief And a contributor to The Arizona Republic and On Twitter: @exjon.

This article originally appeared on the Arizona Republic website: Biden vs. Trump could make the 2024 election less important

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